Heating up: Four things we learned about impact and profit in climate tech

Investors and startups are increasingly making money and driving positive change at the same time, unwilling to make a trade-off. How are they achieving both? While IPO valuations and revenue multiples for VC-backed companies in Europe dropped significantly this year, investment in climate tech is growing faster than any other sector in the region. Energy prices and policy (e.g., the Inflation Reduction Act in the US) alongside changing consumer behaviors have increased pressure for innovators to accelerate the energy transition.

To learn more about how investors and entrepreneurs are striking a balance between impact and profit in climate tech, Antler Amsterdam recently hosted a panel discussion with four experts—Hampus Jakobsson, General Partner at Pale Blue Dot; Lukky Ahmed, CEO of Climate X; Melina Sanchez, Principal & VP Impact at AENU, and David Oudsandji, CEO and founder of Voltfang.



The investor backing the world's most driven founders, from day zero to greatness. Enabling thousands of founders every year to launch and scale companies that move the world forward.

1. Different climate tech solutions require different funding models—not everything is a “VC play.”

The global market is ripe for change and there is room for real financial value to be generated by the energy transition. Our panelists discussed how profits are most viable for traditional and impact investors if the right parameters are in place. For example, financial criteria (exit viability), impact metrics, and sector specificity each come into play for a VC to generate returns that meet an LP's appetite. In this context, business models focused on innovation or infrastructure may have a better chance of  generating financial outperformance than a product focused on injustice.

While our panelists’ views on climate upside differed based on investor risk appetite, they were in agreement on climate downside. The potential for negative impacts caused by the energy transition should be consistently baked into every VC’s strategy, even if they are not impact focused.

While capital has funneled quickly into climate tech, all panelists agreed there is still a desperate need for more investment into the space from all angles.

“When we don’t make profits as a startup we are a charity, and that’s not sustainable also for our economy. We need an economic shift.” —David Oudsandji

“There is injustice, infrastructure, and innovation within climate tech. Injustice is really hard to fix, infrastructure is tricky to monetize but some capitalistic models do exist. The last one, innovation, is in a sector where venture capital plays at its best. So, it really depends on the idea. But if people are going to make a profit and slowly chip away from the purpose of the company, turning into a greenwashing company, then we have completely failed.” —Hampus Jakobsson

“I don’t think climate tech will be separated in the future from traditional—web-based, for example—tech.” —Lukky Ahmed

2. The downstream impacts of climate change are expected to shift systems and prices dramatically.

Our panelists discussed how climate tech startups—particularly in deep tech, where the largest investment gap exists today—may take time to achieve scale and price competitiveness. However, as prices shift in certain sectors, the green premium can and should become less and less relevant.

Of course, a company that can prove cost parity is likely to have easier access to investment capital. That being said, investors like Pale Blue Dot and AENU have more appetite for a price premium than many might expect. Themes of social consciousness and the desire to work with businesses to manage the transition effectively are also driving investments today.

At the same time, our VC and startup panelists shared conviction in a solution that would properly measure sustainability in monetary terms. For example, in a world with taxes on CO2 and greater subsidies in grants / non-dilutive capital, the green premium would not be borne by commercial entrepreneurs, their products, and their investors. Instead, the price points of more “planet destructive” products would increase relative to impact-aware ones. These changes will be important to create greater access for consumers who seek sustainable products, but cannot pay an above-average price in the short term.

“If you think about good quality stuff, you’ll be willing to pay for that. There’s a social consciousness that exists across consumers today.” —Lukky Ahmed

“Today, we’re spending an immense amount of capital subsidizing businesses which destroy our planet.” —Hampus Jakobsson

“We don’t want to invest in a company or technology that will always have some sort of premium above the traditional, because only a certain percent of the population who is privileged will be able to use it.”  —Melina Sanchez

3. Investors need to adjust their time horizons to reflect the realities of deeptech.

When we talk about climate tech, most enthusiasts agree that this innovation has a role to play in solving one of the world’s most sizable problems (if not the largest ones). But typically innovation is not broken down into software and hardware. While work needs to be done across the spectrum, most of the work funded by traditional VC is in the software bucket. We asked our panelists why.

The time horizon for hardware solutions is not five, seven, or 10 years, and investor appetites need to adjust for this as climate is not something that will be solved in that period. Deeptech is a lucrative investment but requires fund structures and companies to shift their business expectations and time horizons in order to succeed.

Voltfang’s David Oudsandji asked for flexibility when investing in the more complex areas of deeptech. Hampus Jakobsson suggested there is a multi-billion-dollar opportunity for late-stage investors that needs to be grasped. If enough VCs can understand the challenges faced by R&D within deeptech, what were once considered risks may become tangible considerations to be aware of. The appropriate hiring and timing decisions can then funnel capital into a lucrative space that sorely needs it.

“Climate is a way bigger thing than web…no investor today would say no to a web investment. It’s not going to be a theme, there are going to be opportunities in super early stages, in venture, in growth. People are deploying a lot of money into this on very sensible things.” —Hampus Jakobsson

“Everything can be done if enough people believe, and enough capital exists. We hope that the VCs understand which challenges we face and the timing that we need for R&D. It’s different from software. There are more delays, things like this aren’t common in software but in hardware they are there every day. This needs to be understood.” —David Oudsandji

4. Bubbles come and go but climate tech is the biggest project humanity has ever taken on.

We asked our panelists why the previous climate tech bubble occurred, and what has changed since. At the time, venture funds were pumping capital into areas of the “then” climate tech market, like commodities and newly cheap forms of natural gas, without realistic time horizons for returns. Meanwhile, the 2008 financial collapse was putting pressure on funds to generate returns without the appropriate capex spend. Panelists believe investors have learned from past mistakes and shifted growth expectations to be more realistic than in the past. The market has seen a multitude of high-value innovations, while sectorwide regulation has created a new standard for climate tech.

While the investible market has grown, our panelists admitted it has not been smooth sailing. There will always be a recalibration in market dynamics that needs to happen, and the same holds true in climate tech. Regardless, the panel agreed that there is still a significant need for more investment into the space across the board.

“With market dynamics everyone is being careful about flying to quality and making sure not to deploy capital that you have fast and sometimes dirty. So, thinking about quality has been our priority over the last few months. I do think there are enough sectors within climate. ” —Melina Sanchez

“We’re always feeling anxious that we’re investing too slow…One of the reasons we had the cleantech bubble was that VC invested in commodities, which has no overlap with climate tech. It’s a massive fear that we have a climate bubble, but at the same time we have a massive quick commerce or scooter bubble. We see amazing quality, we’re not changing our view irrespective.” —Hampus Jakobsson

As a global investor, Antler is dedicated to moving the world forward by investing in the defining companies of the coming decades. We believe that technology products building for the energy transition will play a massive role in driving value creation for investors, and for all of society.

By integrating ESG and impact into our investment decisions and partnering with founders from inception, we lay the groundwork for building sustainable and resilient businesses addressing some of the most pressing challenges of our time—balancing impact and profit. Read our report on how VC firms might better articulate an approach to ESG considerations and impact.

If you are building a climate tech company or passionate about the topic, please email esgandimpact@antler.co or Trisha Nangia, Youri Doeleman, and Ronald Jan Schuurs on our Amsterdam team. We would love to hear from you, learn from you, and build with you.

Subscribe to our newsletter

Get the latest news and views from Antler’s global community

Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.

Must-read articles from Antler

Browse our collection of founder stories, industry insights and latest startup successes from Antler Australia

See articles
5 min read
A window into progress: A look inside the world's day zero investor

As we approach the fifth anniversary of our first investments, we are excited to share A Window into Progress, a report that captures the breadth, depth, and impact of Antler’s global community, which continues to grow and strengthen through the downturn.

Founder Stories
5 min read
Carl Prins: The financier on a mission to decarbonize the global economy

Our content series "It All Starts with People" delves into the passions, motivations, and vision of the exceptional founders we have the privilege of partnering with around the world. Read the story of Carl Prins and his personal quest to help avert the climate crisis through Pathzero.

5 min read
Books every founder should read in 2023

Harry Truman once said: “Not all readers are leaders, but all leaders are readers.” The source of myriad mental and physical benefits, it’s no wonder highly successful entrepreneurs and business leaders frequently credit obsessive reading as instrumental to their outperformance. In honor of UNESCO World Book Day, Antler is excited to share books every founder should read in 2023.

Founder Stories
5 min read
Sarah Hilmy: Inspiring friends and families to discover the world together

“Holidays are a way for you to enrich your own life. It's about going out and experiencing things that you otherwise wouldn't experience in your everyday life, trying new food, meeting new people, and just learning more about the world in a first-hand way.” —Sarah Hilmy, co-founder of travel platform Oddysee.

5 min read
50 creators to watch in 2023

As the creator economy continues to grow, expand, and evolve, we've curated a list of 50 exciting leaders to watch in this space. Influencers. Journalists. Operators at prominent creator-related platforms. Founders. These are the players—seen and unseen—who underpin the global creator ecosystem.

Founder Stories
5 min read
Sharon Li & Vanessa Chen: Empowering employees to be their healthiest and most productive selves

“People sometimes think the emotional and professional are conflicting, but what we believe is when people love their organization, the emotional value will actually make them productive. It will make them give their full self to the organization and make the organization grow for the long term.” —Sharon Li, co-founder and CEO of CHOYS

5 min read
The 2023 Creator Economy: A new direction

Our creator economy insights series—starting with our ultimate guide to the creator economy in May 2021—has tracked the explosion of a sector that upended the professional aspirations of the next generation. Today, as uncertainty and macroeconomic challenges pervade, how are creators pivoting and what does it mean for the sector's future?

Founder Stories
5 min read
Piet Hein van Dam: The seasoned data entrepreneur aiming to eradicate type 2 diabetes

Our content series "It All Starts with People" delves into the passions, motivations, and vision of the exceptional founders we have the privilege of partnering with around the world. Bringing a clarity of vision to our latest spotlight is Piet Hein van Dam, co-founder of Clear, the award-winning digital self-help tool for diabetes patients.